Tag Archive for Denilson

Will Cazorla Signing See Theo Move Into The Middle?

Santi Cazorla, the latest player Arsenal have been linked with and the latest player the ITK types have claimed we are definitely signing is my focus today although I do not claim to be an expert on him but I may have watched him more than The Boss as Wenger is reported as saying “Who is this guy?”. It would seem that Wenger is not interested in the player but Wenger not being interested usually means we are interested although I do think The Boss is being genuine when he says that M’Vila isn’t on his radar. I said for ages that I was sceptical about that deal and was sceptical if he was the player we need or not so I am not surprised that Wenger has poured water on that one and don’t expect it to be diversionary. As Wenger said, we have enough cover in midfield with Jack and Diaby coming back to fitness.

Not joining?

I have used various statistics in my blogs before and I appreciate that statistics don’t always tell the “full story” however I think that statistics, in their raw numeric form, is one of the fairest ways an average fan can judge a player. Statistics are often used to enforce a point and if the statistics say something that goes against a certain person’s view you can be sure that person will trot out the “stats aren’t everything” line. A great example of this could be Denilson or even Ramsey, both have very high pass accuracy % and the fans of these players will point to this and say “look, they are good passers” those in the opposite camp will say “yeah but how many of those were sideways and backwards passes?” to support their point. I just stick with numbers; I don’t agree with questioning statistics because we don’t agree with them or because they don’t fit our own views. I believe you have to accept statistics as they are or you have to take a hell of a lot of things into consideration that you may never have thought of before. I say this because I am going to use statistics to explore an idea or opinion if you will, that I have. What I am writing are my own thoughts and not fact – I feel the need to say that as I’ve had a few trolls on twitter jumping on everything I tweet as if I am claiming it all to be Gospel – alas I digress.

On to the main event – I believe that the time has come for Theo Walcott to move up front and I believe that the potential signing of Santiago Cazorla (if Wenger works out who he is ;) ) will enable this.

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Arsenal’s “Deadwood” – How bad are they?

After my post yesterday about do I still trust Wenger in the transfer market I predictably got a lot of responses, mainly on my twitter, naming Wenger’s dud buys. Every club buys players that don’t work out but no-one mentions Bebe or Shevchenko or Jo because it seems only Wenger buys bad players and every other club buys great players.

I don’t really like the term deadwood but I can’t think of another name. I want to explore the “deadwood” and give my thoughts on whether or not they are/were as bad as many of us, myself at times included, have made them out to be.

The so-called “deadwood” are Almunia, Arshavin, Bendtner, Chamakh, Denilson, Diaby, Park, Squillaci and Vela.

Almunia

I remember a time when Arsenal fans were clamouring for him to play instead of Jens Lehmann…. how ironic that they all say Szczesny is our first decent keeper since Jens!

AlmuniaSzczesny
Apps/Mins98 / 880853 / 4770
Clean Sheets3719
Goals Conceded9068
Average Goals Conceded Per Match0.961.28
Penalties Faced/Conceded14 / 810 / 7
Penalty Save Percentage43%30%
Total Shots Faced844524
Total Shots On Target Faced359200
Saves269136
Save %74.9%66.7%

As the table shows Szczesny, statistically, isn’t much better. He keeps fewer clean sheets on average and concedes more goals with a similar amount of shots on goal. However, what Szczesny has in abundance that Almunia always lacked is an unshakeable self-confidence that even if he makes a mistake he won’t make another. When Almunia dropped a clanger he looked completely crestfallen and was prone to making more errors.

Confidence aside I don’t really think anyone can call Almunia “deadwood”. He is a decent keeper, maybe not up to the standards of the great keepers we’ve had over the years but if he was earning 50% of what he has been earning I don’t think many people would have objected to him staying as 3rd choice keeper. Read more

Arsenal Need To Buy Big, First They Must Bargain Hunt

Okay let us imagine that we are super lucky and manage to sell all of our “dead wood” (see my post on end of season fire sale) which I personally don’t think we’ll be able to do.

For arguments sake I am going to say that we sell Almunia, Mannone, Squillaci, Denilson, Arshavin, Park, Bendtner and Vela.

Our squad will then consist of:

Szczesny, Fabianski, Sagna, Jenkinson, Gibbs, Santos, Djourou, Koscielny, Mertesacker, Vermaelen, Song, Arteta, Frimpong, Coquelin, Wilshere, Diaby, Ramsey, Rosicky, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Lansbury, Walcott, Gervinho, Ryo, Chamakh, Podolski, Campbell, Afobe, Van Persie

KEY: GREEN = HOME-GROWN BOLD = Under 21

7 of these players do not need to be registered and probably will not be.

Of the remaining 21 players only 7 are “home-grown” therefore we need one more or we submit a smaller squad.

I think we could lose Fabianski this summer and that would take our squad down to 20. I believe that Afobe will be loaned out next season and we could potentially see Campbell back out on loan, then we’ll only have 3 strikers; RVP, Podolski (who will mainly play on the left) and Chamakh.

I have a feeling that Lansbury will be signed permanently by West Ham if they are promoted (and for the purpose of this blog I will assume they will be promoted).

We are now down to 19 so can sign 4 players. Who should those 4 be? Read more

End Of Season Fire Sale

Earlier this week I focused on the financial aspects of Arsenal’s trophy drought, in particular the correlation between Arsenal being unable to challenge for the title and the rise in wages elsewhere in a fashion that best attracted top players.

Today I want to explore what clearing out the “dead wood” is actually going to do for us. Will our end of year sale actually make us win something?

As we all know there are players on Arsenal’s books that based on the quality of their performances over their entire career with Arsenal (Ramsey’s few months of bad form not considered) who most Gooners believe do not deserve to be at the club, especially if we are claiming to have designs on winning trophies. More so than that there are players being paid far beyond what the average fan would call acceptable for their worth and value to the squad.

Sell the lot?

I want to examine moving these players on but before we can examine the moving on of players we need to actually see what our squad of 25 could look like and where additions or replacements need to be made.

The premier league 25 rule is this:

A squad can have a maximum of 25 senior players. They can also use as many players as they like who are under 21 or will still be 21 or under on January 1st of the year the season starts.

Of that 25 at least 8 must be “home-grown”. Home-grown means a player that had been registered with an English or Welsh club for at least 3 years between the ages of 16 and 21 irrespective of nationality. If a club cannot name 8 home-grown players then they must sacrifice one of their 25 places in the squad.

With that in mind I want to examine who will make the squad next season, who can we afford to let go and how easy it may be to have a clear out.

It will be our intention to trim a little bit and if possible add one or two players

Arsene Wenger on the summer transfer window

These are the players currently on our books and/or in the first team squad. Benayoun is not included as until such time we buy him he is a Chelsea player next season. (Red means loaned out this year)

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Arsenals Over-Paid Numpties

According to a senior boardroom source at the Emirates, Arsenal could afford the wages of big stars or the demands of their existing ones if some of the crazy salaries given out to the much maligned members of the squad were somewhat less ridiculous.

This boardroom source recently claimed that Arsene could put a big contract offer to Nasri if Diaby only earned £30,000 per week instead of £60,000 per week. £60,000 for Diaby! A week!! When you hear that Luka Modric is on £35,000 a week a short jaunt up the Seven Sisters Road at Spurs it really puts into perspective how badly overpaid some Arsenal players are.

Don’t get me wrong, when fit Diaby has great potential but that is the point. When fit…. potential. £60k is too much for someone with a poor injury record and debatable influence when fit.

Samir Nasir, reportedly on £45,000 per week has been offered a salary of £90,000 per week however has been reported to be holding out for parity with Fabregas who is on £110,000 a week as the clubs top earner.

For a long time now Wenger has offered big wages to lesser known players or up and coming talents in order to tie them down to long term contracts. Sadly whilst this works in getting players to sign 6+ year contracts, guaranteeing that Arsenal either get their best years or a good resell value, it actually creates the disproportionate wage bill that holds Arsenal back as they refuse to breach 50-55% of turnover as their marker for maximum wages.

Currently Arsenal have a weekly wage bill of £2.3m compared to £2.6m at Chelsea and who has had the more recent success? With “world class” stars such as Drogba, Cech, Terry, Lampard, Essien, Torres (of days gone by), Cole, Malouda and Anelka as well as other future talents like David Luiz in their ranks you would expect Chelsea’s wage bill to eclipse Arsenal’s by more than £300k a week!

With ‘stars’ like Denilson, Almunia, Vela, Bendtner and Squillaci reportedly earning over £50,000 a week it is not hard to see where Arsenal are going wrong.

Denilson, Vela and Almunia all earn salaries of £50,000 a week with Diaby, Bendtner and Squiallci earning £55-60,000 a week.

That is £340k a week, the difference between Arsenal’s and Chelsea’s wage bill. That would afford Arsenal their reported targets of Parker, Cahill and Gervinho with increases in their salaries of 50%+ and still leave close to £150,000 a week to bump up the salaries of players such as Nasri, Van Persie and Walcott to get them to sign new contracts and still probably have change for an ice cream.

A long term solution for Arsenal would be to offer ‘reasonable’ wages to young players breaking into the first team of around £10-15k a week on long term deals and a net increase of 10% of salary to new purchases on 3-4 year deals with a caveat that performances and contributions to the team will result in an increase that will be backdated such as with Fabregas.

Whilst Wenger has been very astute in the transfer market over the past 15 years he has been extremely naïve when it comes to wages. I cannot help but feel that this foolishness coincided with the departure of David Dein.

With great power comes great responsibility and it seems that Wenger has had more power than he can actually handle since Dein left.